Monday, May 16, 2011

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Scenario 2012,
Chilpancingo

Esteban Mendoza Ramos
national political context without doubt an important influence in local elections, which made next to the federal process, but in each area or each region of the state of Guerrero, you will notice the effects of the personal form of governing political or influential politicians.
In the case of Chilpancingo, of course, who will set standards and define applications as a regional leader, with state presence will Héctor Antonio Astudillo Flores. Applicants for elected office are many, many would say, because the political class of the town was divided in the election for governor.
for municipal office have raised their hand with insistence Mena Marco Antonio Leyva, Heriberto Huicochea and Professor José Vázquez Peralta Luis Lobato, the PRI in the group who remained faithful during the revolt last year. You can add the trustees Gaspar Antonio Beltrán and Mondragón Socorro Sosa, they all believe they have sufficient merit. Before us
Congressman Jorge Salgado Parra, young expriista that seek to be nominated by the Democratic Revolution Party, supported by the power that his father is from the Ministry of Finance of state government. His little political experience and the difficulty of achieving the nomination of the "left" because they have their own candidates, are the obstacles will be overcome Parra Salgado.
The other front is represented by the Moreno Arcos, who seek power in two ways: Mario, the senate, Ricardo municipal office. Consider Moreno brothers have one foot in each group stronger. It is close to Mario Enrique Peña Nieto, through Videgaray Luis Caso, the chief bishop of the current governor of Mexico State, which placed him in the presidency of the Budget Committee of the Chamber of Deputies. Luis Videgaray currently is the general coordinator of Ávila Eruviel campaign, almost certain winner of the July 3 election.
In this commission, Mario Moreno Arcos served as secretary, but a few days ago, their own "comrades" PRI was relieved of office, so do not be so easy to forget the great political grievance PRI by Ricardo and Mario, or national level, much less locally, which can not remove the stigma of traitors, because but Mario was not very active in the campaign Heladio Angel Aguirre Rivero, is publicly in favor of those operating in the contest for the governorship. Ricardo Moreno Arcos
turn, occupies a key position in the Department of Education Guerrero, the undersecretary of administration. And we all know the rivers of money that are out there, so it is not difficult to deduce that Ricardo can fill not one but several "pigs" for "when it comes to come." Ricardo gets the PRI candidate for mayor of Chilpancingo is unlikely, because this is where loyalty is rewarded and punished. And the PRD will be hard-fought, so Ricardo and Jorge can sink into political purgatory because of the Sol Azteca party has its own internal dynamics.
In the town of Chilpancingo, the PRI should be careful, now, the internal drive to take advantage of the national political scene, that it is very favorable. Internal democracy is in this most important occasion, because if they nominate the best candidates through transparent processes can recover most in the local Congress and preserve the state's major cities, with the sole risk of Acapulco, where Walton Luis Aburto surely go as a candidate, supported by the leftist forces and the governor himself.
Several aspects have an impact in favor of the PRI Guerrero: The inevitable "train wreck" that is planned between Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the PRD political cost that the state will pay for the exercise of government, which by the outside, have shown worst face, for his inordinate greed for public office, turning his back completely to the public. Peña Nieto factor will also be shocking in the minds of the electorate, especially in the sector female.
Meanwhile, the Citizens Movement, which represents an amalgam of characters and citizens, who supported Heladio Angel Aguirre Rivero for governor, no doubt swayed when defining local support. Those who reached "bone" will have to obey their boss, but many have been left adrift and a bit resentful, so address any other boat that will go ahead. Some others felt in the heart of the so-called father of the tricolor, which after a strong "pulling of ears" at the end will be comforted in the chest where they were born, politically, of course.

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